We’ve made it through Free agency, through the draft, through training camp, through pre-season, through roster cuts and finally, the NFL season is here!
Here at Full10Yards alongside the regular content is a thriving betting team who have previewed every division on podcasts over the last month, and now they’re here with some written content giving their best bets on spreads and totals for week one of the season, and maybe a couple of players to look for in the player prop markets, we all love a cheeky big priced TD scorer don’t we?! – Check out the Week 1 pod now
Each and every week there will be a post on-site with our best bets, as well as Podcasts put out previewing every game each Thursday or Friday depending on schedule.
Week 1 Best bets:
Philadelphia Eagles -4 @ Detroit Lions (most)
Adam Walford (@TouchdownTips)
Two of the hype-est of the hype teams of the off-season take the field against each other in week one, and while it might prove stupid, I’m going against the team who covered the spread more than anyone else in the league last season and taking the Eagles to get off to a good start on the road in Detroit.
It’s hard not to look at the Eagles and see a good chance of making a run in the playoffs – They have one of the easiest schedules in the league, arguably top units on both defensive and offensive line, they brought in AJ Brown over the summer and his pairing with Devonta Smith gives them great weapons on both sides of the field in the passing game along with Dallas Goedert who’s proved a top 6 tight end in the league.
Add to the passing options with Miles Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott at running back as well as one of the most mobile QBs in the league and it should be a dynamic offense.
I do like the Lions to do better than people thought this year, but after hard knocks they have become a fairly popular team and while they’ll do better this year than last I think the Eagles win by at least a TD in this one.
Buccaneers -2.5 @ Dallas (365/888/others)
Liam Horsley (_LiamHorsley)
This is an exciting rematch of week 1 last season and I think the end result will be the same, a high-scoring Buccaneers win. At this spread we avoid the push at 3 and miss out on the dreaded hook of a potential 3.5 spread.
Both these teams have had really strange off-seasons where they have lost talent for different reasons, however, I think the Buccaneers are going to be too strong on defense and through their passing attack for this Cowboys team to keep up. Even without Godwin I expect this Buccaneers offense to score 27+ points. Both offensive lines are weaker, but I trust Brady more to get the ball out quick and I think the Buccaneer’s run defense can really slow the ground attack of the Cowboys. I think over 51 is a good bet on this one as well but I prefer Buccaneers -2.5.
Another bet I love is Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns at plus money. This line is likely to be 3.5 throughout the season and the Cardinals have one of the weakest defensive units in the entire NFL.
Patriots @ Dolphins u46.5 points (most)
Jack Tuffy (@JackT_95)
NFL Week 1 is a notoriously hard weekend to make picks, as offseason acquisitions take time to adjust to their new teams. This off-season the Dolphins and the Patriots have been on opposite sides of the hype train.
After a good rookie season, Mac Jones has lost his offensive co-ordinator Josh McDaniel who has taken on the head coaching roll for the Las Vegas Raiders. A tough adjustment for Jones was made worse when the Patriots decided that Joe Judge and Matt Patricia will be calling the offensive plays. The Patriots beat writers have said Jones looks a shell of himself in training camp, adding to this, the Patriots lack of weapons makes it hard to think the offence will be good…
On the other hand, the Dolphins have made some big splashes this off-season. They acquired one of the most dangerous players in the NFL in Tyreek Hill. With the new offensive head coach Mike McDaniel coming in from the 49ers I expect a huge improvement from Tua but not straight away. These two teams had a 17-16 game last year and I’d expect both teams to struggle to hit 20 points in this game too. The under 46.5 points is my best bet of the week.
Saints -4 @ Atlanta Falcons (Skybet, mostly -5.5)
Callum Squires (@CallumJDSquires)
The New Orleans Saints are obviously entering a new era under Dennis Allen, but the core of their roster is so solid, and talented, I don’t think they’ll have any issue starting this year and well as they did last season before Jameis Winston got injured. Don’t forget, they blew the Packers out in week 1 last year. On the flip side, the Falcons are a bit of a shambles.
I feel sorry for HC Arthur Smith, who’s drafting well and trying to build a team, but no Calvin Ridley hurts, and Marcus Mariota is just not the long-term answer at QB. He may not even be the short-term answer. NOLA is more talented, more experienced, and players like Michael Thomas have something to prove. Saints -4 feels like an easy way to get the season off to a winning start. – Although the -5.5 is still fine, the chance of it finishing 5 is very small